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But expect a couple of weeks to start getting kegged beer out of a brewery at reasonable volume again. Some pubs will be able to start as soon as they have a delivery. Some won't have followed advice to keep equipment working. For some, this follows multiple closures due to flooding.
Cider should be more reliable as it has a longer shelf life
Bottles and cans should be fine as nobody is stopped from brewing.
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On the gigging front, I guess it will gradually creep back to 'as you were'.
I had tickets to see Peter Buck in April. It has been re-scheduled to October.
Pubs where somebody is on site will be fine, but any where the staff cant get in will likely need all lines replacing after this, either from being left with beer, water of line clean fluid in them... they will all destroy the lines. They need to do a full clean, and blow the lines out completely, then another full clean on reopening.
breweries are still going too, but they wont be kegging anything for a while. Cider might be okay with its extended shelf life, but beer doesn't last as long
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My guess is that, first off, everyone will be pleased to get out of their houses and socialise. So people will have more cash than usual because they haven’t been spending. Some will have less because they haven’t been earning. So there will be an initial rush, where pubs don’t need bands, then a trough where the cash runs thin and the attraction of bottled beer rubs off. That’s when pubs will need bands to help drag customers in. It depends heavily on how the lockdown is lifted.
The question was: Presumably music pubs will be calling the bands they’ve already got booked, and filling gaps with bands they’ve used before. They won’t be putting on extras gigs because the money won’t be there initially.
Assuming that the lockdown is lifted before mid summer then there is also scope for pubs with gardens having weekend events where someone else does the organising.
Festivals may be "allowed" in the summer, but will be difficult to be profitable. Pubs may be nervous about spending more on band bookings than they generate in sales, and music venues will be more cautious than ever of gigs which may not break even - and that's if they actually survive the current shutdown.
I was hoping for my best earning year so far from gigs, but can't see much earning potential now, and tbh am more concerned about household income and family health now.
The pub gig's I'm not so worried about. I'm very lucky to live in an area where pubs use bands to draw punters and are prepared to pay decent money. Most of these are Fullers pubs and Fullers have cancelled the rents during lockdown to help landlords ride it out. Judging by Facebook people are desperate to get back into live music pubs in my area, it's kind of a big thing locally
Festival wise we've already lost the isle of Wight festival which we were booked to play ... we are also booked at Victorious festival which is end of August so that may still go ahead.
The last 4 weeks have been the longest I have gone without gigging for 20 years
I'd rather be playing originals in other genres if there's no money in the gigs tbh.