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LD's were always going to get a big swing as the last pro-Europe party in a constituency that is overwhelmingly Remain.
I am chuffed though.
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The LD's are in the enviable position of having little to lose, a lot to gain and being the last major party for remain could pick up a lot of seats.
I agree though, I think UKIP will do very well in the next GE if the Tories don't deliver some sort of immigration reform.
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Possibly. But I think UKIP may be a spent force once Farage disappears off to the US, new leader or no new leader.
Exactly. It's by far their best strategy to redeem themselves - although if anything, they need to be more overt about it.
What I hope Zac Goldsmith now does is redoubles his efforts to block the expansion of Heathrow. It was his mistake to make it the reason for the by-election, when there was no argument between the candidates about it.
"Take these three items, some WD-40, a vise grip, and a roll of duct tape. Any man worth his salt can fix almost any problem with this stuff alone." - Walt Kowalski
"Only two things are infinite - the universe, and human stupidity. And I'm not sure about the universe." - Albert Einstein
Remember, it's easier to criticise than create!
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If the local residents were so in favour of Heathrow, why are all the local MPs against it? Because they wouldn't still have their seats if they came out in favour. It was another of the reasons Ann K££n (aka Mrs Expenses) lost her seat in my constituency in 2010 - she had voted in favour of Heathrow to hold on to her minor cabinet post.
If you are in favour of Heathrow expansion you need to look at the facts around it a bit more carefully.
Apart from the economic reasons (which Osborne's fig leaf commission definitely based on very dodgy assumptions) there is also the safety aspect. You don't want planes landing and taking off over built up areas. If an accident (or terror incident) happens there will be a lot more casualties on the ground. A terror incident is also a lot more likely at Heathrow. If terrorists do manage to sneak a SAM into the country, it would be a lot harder to spot someone in a back garden in Hounslow than someone in a field near Gatwick, or a boat on the Thames at Boris Island, where they would stick out like a sore thumb.
Even on the economic argument, apart from the fact the that the figures are wrong in the first place, it will cost a massive amount more to build than is currently being accounted for. There will be so much disruption and protest that it will take years longer and cost billions more to build - because so many people who live locally know how stupid an idea it is.
I don't think UKIP is done, but they have a big job ahead if they want to transition from right wing fringe to being a major force.
They will have to distance themselves from the loonies, be more organised and a lot more centrist if they want to pick up disillusioned Labour voters, who they need very badly.
If you look at how many votes UKIP got in the last GE- it was something like 3.8 million votes across the nation, nearly double the LD's, but because of FPTP it came pretty much to nought.
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The reason UKIP got so many votes was a form of protest against the ruling establishment, that ship has sailed.
The next unifying cause to vote for will likely be the direction we're heading over Brexit, hence a big chance for the LD's.
Heard the Lib Dem winner's speech and wanted to vomit. What a muppet. Which pond did they find her in ... British politics is seriously short of talent.
Remember, it's easier to criticise than create!
It makes sense, IMO on so many levels. The impact on local residents is tough, and easy for anyone no living there to make light of. However, if you want expanded airport capacity with easy access to the capital, something has to give. Its either a new airport or more at Gatwick, and Gatwick is an arse to get to and from. LHR has all the infrastructure, and tbh as a regular user, its one of the better airports in the world.
Planes land and take off over built up areas all over the world. The anti terror argument IMO bears no relevance to the location of the airport at all. You don't decide on the location of an airport based on the tiny possibility that someone will blow a plane up at or near to the airport. That's like basing your decision on whether or not to leave the house on the remote possibility that you might trip on a pavement or walk under a bus.
The economic arguments, all the ones that I have read, from all quarters, are pretty convincing.
Besides, we can debate all we like: its happening
Remember, it's easier to criticise than create!
That's why I think UKIP will do well - they are a party of protest and there's plenty to protest about. The London elite don't understand how despised they are in the rest of the country - if I were running the Remain campaign I'd tell Blair to shut up as he's the epitome of the privileged elite who think they know best and lecture the rest of us.
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I'm pretty I've seen a study showing that new runways at Gatwick *and* Stansted could be built for the same money as one at Heathrow, without the enormous disruption to the M25/M4 area. This would also provide *more* new jobs.
"Take these three items, some WD-40, a vise grip, and a roll of duct tape. Any man worth his salt can fix almost any problem with this stuff alone." - Walt Kowalski
"Only two things are infinite - the universe, and human stupidity. And I'm not sure about the universe." - Albert Einstein