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http://www.thefretboard.co.uk/discussion/57632/
"Take these three items, some WD-40, a vise grip, and a roll of duct tape. Any man worth his salt can fix almost any problem with this stuff alone." - Walt Kowalski
"Only two things are infinite - the universe, and human stupidity. And I'm not sure about the universe." - Albert Einstein
As for the pathetic bleating about "how can people do this" it would help if people would learn about Islam before wading in to blame "people" for this kind of thing. The perpetrators believe that they are doing something good, very good. For doing God's work and bringing everyone on this Earth closer to Paradise, they are doing something more virtuous than can be described. This is what they believe, even if that seems very difficult for the liberal secular mind to conceive.
And that's part of the problem. If anyone, anywhere, does anything, how can we be sure who's responsible? The individual, for sure if they're caught. The larger organisation? Who knows?
Anyone can do this stuff and say it's Daesh, or Hezbollah, Britain First, Front National or anyone else. It's a field day for fanatics.
It's either a false flag operation, or it's some Jihadi nutter or wannabe killing people
Given the events of the last 12 months, why would anyone feel motivated to expose themselves to staging a false flag operation,, when a bonafide Jihadi massacre happens in the EU every 2-3 months? Therefore very likely to be a genuine Jihadi-inspired attack
For me, the scary thing is seeing this sort of thing in Northern Ireland already:
2 tribes, repeated killings of one tribe motivates the most warlike in the other tribe to reciprocate
Rinse and repeat for decades
Typically 10% of each tribe in Northern Ireland endorsed/supported/excused the killers
I heard these sentiments first hand
For me, that 10% is enough to keep "troubles" going on indefinitely, until we have a watershed like an Enniskillen. Personally , I don't think a watershed is possible with fundamentalism of any kind
It's a known fact that a similar proportion of the Muslim "tribe" support ISIS
20% of Syrians support ISIS
https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/worldviews/wp/2015/09/15/one-in-five-syrians-say-islamic-state-is-a-good-thing-poll-says/?utm_term=.69f45bbed4b3
37% of Syrian refugees opposed airstrikes on ISIS:
http://english.dohainstitute.org/file/Get/40ebdf12-8960-4d18-8088-7c8a077e522e
many countries range from 5-20%
https://static.independent.co.uk/s3fs-public/styles/story_medium/public/thumbnails/image/2015/12/08/16/isis-support-muslims.jpg
https://newrepublic.com/article/119857/polls-middle-east-about-islamic-state-have-surprising-results
5% of Saudis
3% of Egyptians
https://qph.ec.quoracdn.net/main-qimg-66df29d02e50457afae168f300e189ab-c?convert_to_webp=true
so, the point of all this is:
I can't see this going away
and: I think we'll start to see reprisal attacks from right-wing extremists in the next 12-24 months
If I'm right, It's not going to be something that can be dismissed with a narrative in the press, it will be full-on sectarianism, with more martyrs and mass killings than we have seen before, look at how easily lorries beat what the IRA ever achieved. As soon as this kind of martyrdom is an option, a new paradigm is created
I'm pretty despondent
Remember, it's easier to criticise than create!
So what? That doesn't in any way make it less likely that the perpetrator was known by Daesh.
Don't accuse me of that. Whether they did or didn't have anything to do with it.
"Take these three items, some WD-40, a vise grip, and a roll of duct tape. Any man worth his salt can fix almost any problem with this stuff alone." - Walt Kowalski
"Only two things are infinite - the universe, and human stupidity. And I'm not sure about the universe." - Albert Einstein
I have got into countless arguments tonight with idiots blaming migrants. Most of the deaths in Europe from 7/7 onwards were not carried out by migrants but by local people. Fact.
Every time Daesh is mentioned is gives them oxygen - it encourages other idiots to do stupid things in the name of religion. The organisation is on it's knees and is virtually broke. People need to stop promoting their propaganda. The German security services and CIA have said there is currently no evidence to support their claims so why claim they were responsible when there's no evidence?
Remember, it's easier to criticise than create!
Being aware of who you're fighting and how they inspire their followers does not "give them oxygen".
"Take these three items, some WD-40, a vise grip, and a roll of duct tape. Any man worth his salt can fix almost any problem with this stuff alone." - Walt Kowalski
"Only two things are infinite - the universe, and human stupidity. And I'm not sure about the universe." - Albert Einstein
The German media, and the most tolerant refugee/immigrant/minority-friendly press in the UK and elsewhere can use whatever narrative they wish, but it will not change the outcome I think:
If the attacks on innocent civilians by loners using lorries, or more weapon-based killings continue on a more and more frequent basis, the press & TV will not be capable of sustaining a widely-accepted narrative about these being rare extremist events, unrelated to all the nice normal Muslims.
Many people will see these events as attacks by the Muslim tribe against the secular/Christian tribe.
We already know what happens next, we've seen it in many countries.
There are plenty of psychopaths in every country, usually taught to suppress their instincts. Given a plausible cause to justify killing, these people join paramilitaries and begin killing innocents from the other tribe
Alongside this, we will see the further rise of right-wing political parties
I can't see an end point:
In Northern Ireland, you had 10% support for the paramilitaries, and I think that diminished and was overwhelmed by the revulsion of the larger group of less aggressive people in each tribe, when enough people felt that too much innocent blood had been spilled. These murders were political, not religious, although the tribes were defined by religion.
With Daesh, the murders are religiously motivated, they also have 10%+ support, and we've seen how the killers can subjugate nice normal muslims in Iraq and Syria. When would enough infidel blood be spilled to make Daesh supporters change their minds? The Catholics spent hundreds of years in holy wars.
I can't visualise a peace process once the reprisal attacks start. Look at the break up of Yugoslavia
We see IS as the major enemy but Yemen is a major source of radicalisation - many in Yeman are radical Salafists who are nothing to do with IS. Islam is at war with itself - Sunniy/Sufi versus Wahabi/Salafi, and Shia - there are also major powers - Iran vs Saudi Arabia a well known exporter of terror. All we see is IS as they are a visible enemy which can be bombed from the air in Syria and Iraq. Razak Ali Artan attacked people in the US and IS claimed responsibility - the CIA found no evidence and in interviewing him he claimed he was appalled by how the west was treating Muslims in Syria so decided to act.
You are right when you say IS chucks out out information and tries to urge people to action and sometimes this may be the case, but splashing a headline 'IS claims responsibility .." and peddling the internet myth that IS only claim responsibility for its own attacks without hard evidence just gives them a propaganda victory. I'm sure IS don't know half the people who have undertaken attacks.
Remember, it's easier to criticise than create!